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Integrated climate, ecological and socioeconomic scenarios for the whale watching sector

2023-01Journal article Restricted access
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dc.contributor.authorSousa, Andreia G.
dc.contributor.authorCoelho, R. Encarnação
dc.contributor.authorCosta, Hugo
dc.contributor.authorLourenço, T. Capela
dc.contributor.authorAzevedo, José M. N.
dc.contributor.authorSantos, C. Frazão
dc.date.accessioned2022-12-08T20:50:26Z
dc.date.available2022-12-08T20:50:26Z
dc.date.issued2023-01
dc.description.abstractUnprecedented human induced changes to the climate system have already contributed to a variety of observed impacts to both ecosystems and populations. Decision-makers demand impact assessments at the regional-to-local scale to be able to plan and define effective climate action measures. Integrated socio-ecological assessments that properly consider system uncertainties require the use of prospective scenarios that project potential climate impacts, while accounting for sectoral exposure and adaptive capacity. Here we provide an integrated assessment of climate change to the whale watching sector by: 1) extending the European Shared Socio-economic Pathways (Eur-SSPs) and developing four whale watching SSP narratives (WW-SSPs) and 2) characterize each key element comprised in the WW-SSPs for the time period 2025–2055. We applied this approach in a case study for the Macaronesia region where we developed scenarios which integrate the socio-economic (WW-SSPs), climate (RCPs) and ecological (species' thermal suitability responses) dimensions of whale watching. These scenarios were used by local stakeholders to identify the level of preparedness of the whale watching sector. When confronted with scenarios that combine this ecological dimension with projected climate changes and the four different socioeconomic narratives, stakeholders assessed the whale watching sector in Macaronesia as being somewhat prepared for a Sustainable World and a Fossil Fuel Development World, but somewhat unprepared for a Rivalry World. No consensus was reached regarding the sector's preparedness level under an Inequality World scenario. Our study demonstrates the importance of considering multiple dimensions when assessing the potential challenges posed by climate change and provides a needed resource to help the whale watching sector in Macaronesia, and elsewhere, in its effort to devise efficient climate action policies and strategies.en
dc.description.sponsorshipAS was funded by the Portuguese Foundation for Science and Technology1 (FCT) through the PhD grant PD/BD/135352/2017. AS, REC, HC and TCL acknowledge the support from the Portuguese Foundation for Science and Technology (FCT) under the programmatic funding granted to cE3c Research Centre (UIDP/00329/2020). CFS acknowledges funding from FCT under the strategic project granted to MARE (UID/MAR/04292/2019) and FCT research contract 2020.03704.CEECIND. This research was supported by the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under grant agreement No 776661, project “SOCLIMPACT—DownScaling CLImate imPACTs and decarbonisation pathways in EU islands and enhancing socioeconomic and non-market evaluation of Climate Change for Europe, for 2050 and beyond”.en
dc.description.versioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionpt_PT
dc.identifier.citationSousa, A., Coelho, R.E., Costa, H., Lourenço, T.C., Azevedo, J.M.N. & Santos, C.F. (2022). Integrated climate, ecological and socioeconomic scenarios for the whale watching sector. "Science of the Total Environment", 857(3), 159589. DOI:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.159589en
dc.identifier.doi10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.159589pt_PT
dc.identifier.eissn1879-1026
dc.identifier.issn0048-9697
dc.identifier.pmid36270379
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.3/6485
dc.language.isoengpt_PT
dc.peerreviewedyespt_PT
dc.publisherElsevierpt_PT
dc.relationWhale watching and climate change in European islands
dc.relationCentre for Ecology, Evolution and Environmental Changes
dc.relationMARE - Marine and Environmental Sciences Centre
dc.relation.publisherversionhttps://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0048969722066888pt_PT
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/pt_PT
dc.subjectIntegrated Assessmenten
dc.subjectShared Socio-economic Pathwaysen
dc.subjectClimate Changeen
dc.subjectCetaceanspt_PT
dc.subjectWhale Watchingen
dc.titleIntegrated climate, ecological and socioeconomic scenarios for the whale watching sectoren
dc.typejournal article
dspace.entity.typePublication
oaire.awardTitleWhale watching and climate change in European islands
oaire.awardTitleCentre for Ecology, Evolution and Environmental Changes
oaire.awardTitleMARE - Marine and Environmental Sciences Centre
oaire.awardURIinfo:eu-repo/grantAgreement/FCT/OE/PD%2FBD%2F135352%2F2017/PT
oaire.awardURIinfo:eu-repo/grantAgreement/FCT/6817 - DCRRNI ID/UIDP%2F00329%2F2020/PT
oaire.awardURIinfo:eu-repo/grantAgreement/FCT/6817 - DCRRNI ID/UID%2FMAR%2F04292%2F2019/PT
oaire.citation.conferencePlaceNetherlandsen
oaire.citation.titleScience of The Total Environmenten
oaire.citation.volume857pt_PT
oaire.fundingStreamOE
oaire.fundingStream6817 - DCRRNI ID
oaire.fundingStream6817 - DCRRNI ID
person.familyNameAzevedo
person.givenNameJosé
person.identifier.ciencia-id8312-087E-A33C
person.identifier.orcid0000-0003-2573-1371
person.identifier.ridC-1504-2010
person.identifier.scopus-author-id7101722234
project.funder.identifierhttp://doi.org/10.13039/501100001871
project.funder.identifierhttp://doi.org/10.13039/501100001871
project.funder.identifierhttp://doi.org/10.13039/501100001871
project.funder.nameFundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
project.funder.nameFundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
project.funder.nameFundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
rcaap.rightsclosedAccesspt_PT
rcaap.typearticlept_PT
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relation.isAuthorOfPublication.latestForDiscoveryba383324-3114-4d75-a772-dc6c83d33fb2
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