Repository logo
 
Publication

A novel expert-driven methodology to develop thermal response curves and project habitat thermal suitability for cetaceans under a changing climate

2023-02Journal article Restricted access
Simple item page
dc.contributor.authorSousa, Andreia G.
dc.contributor.authorFernandez, Marc
dc.contributor.authorAlves, Filipe M. A.
dc.contributor.authorArranz, Patricia
dc.contributor.authorDinis, Ana
dc.contributor.authorGonzález García, Laura
dc.contributor.authorMorales, Misael
dc.contributor.authorLettrich, Matthew D.
dc.contributor.authorCoelho, R. Encarnação
dc.contributor.authorCosta, Hugo
dc.contributor.authorLourenço, T. Capela
dc.contributor.authorAzevedo, José M. N.
dc.contributor.authorSantos, Catarina Frazão
dc.date.accessioned2023-01-17T17:11:03Z
dc.date.available2023-01-17T17:11:03Z
dc.date.issued2023-02
dc.description.abstractOver the last decades, global warming has contributed to changes in marine species composition, abundance and distribution, in response to changes in oceanographic conditions such as temperature, acidification, and deoxygenation. Experimentally derived thermal limits, which are known to be related to observed latitudinal ranges, have been used to assess variations in species distribution patterns. However, such experiments cannot be undertaken on free-swimming large marine predators with wide-range distribution, like cetaceans. An alternative approach is to elicit expert's knowledge to derive species' thermal suitability and assess their thermal responses, something that has never been tested in these taxa. We developed and applied a methodology based on expert-derived thermal suitability curves and projected future responses for several species under different climate scenarios. We tested this approach with ten cetacean species currently present in the biogeographic area of Macaronesia (North Atlantic) under Representative Concentration Pathways 2.6, 4.5 and 8.5, until 2050. Overall, increases in annual thermal suitability were found for Balaenoptera edeni, Globicephala macrorhynchus, Mesoplodon densirostris, Physeter macrocephalus, Stenella frontalis, Tursiops truncatus and Ziphius cavirostris. Conversely, our results indicated a decline in thermal suitability for B. physalus, Delphinus delphis, and Grampus griseus. Our study reveals potential responses in cetaceans' thermal suitability, and potentially in other highly mobile and large predators, and it tests this method's applicability, which is a novel application for this purpose and group of species. It aims to be a cost-efficient tool to support conservation managers and practitioners.en
dc.description.sponsorshipAS was funded by the Portuguese Foundation for Science and Technology (FCT) through the PhD grant PD/BD/135352/2017. AS, REC, HC and TCL acknowledge the support from the Portuguese Foundation for Science and Technology (FCT) under the programmatic funding granted to cE3c Research Centre (UIDP/00329/2020). PA was funded by the Program ‘Agustín de Betancourt’ of La Laguna University and Cabildo de Tenerife throughout the project CETTUS. AD, FA and MF had the support of the Oceanic Observatory of Madeira throughout the project M1420-01-0145-FEDER-000001-OOM, of the Portuguese Foundation for Science and Technology (FCT) throughout the strategic projects UIDB/04292/2020 and UIDP/04292/2020 granted to MARE, LA/P/0069/2020 granted to the Associate Laboratory ARNET, of the ARDITI - Madeira's Regional Agency for the Development of Research Technology and Innovation throughout the project M1420-09-5369-FSE000002, and of the Project Intertagua (Interreg MAC2/1.1a/385). MDL was funded as a contractor of the US Government under contract number: 1305M418DNFF0012. CFS acknowledges funding from FCT under the strategic project UIDB/ 04292/2020 awarded to MARE, project LA/P/0069/2020 granted to the Associate Laboratory ARNET, and FCT research contract 2020.03704. CEECIND. This research was supported by the European Union‘s Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under grant agreement No 776661, project “SOCLIMPACT—DownScaling CLImate imPACTs and decarbonisation pathways in EU islands and enhancing socioeconomic and non-market evaluation of Climate Change for Europe, for 2050 and beyond”.en
dc.description.versioninfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersionpt_PT
dc.identifier.citationSousa, A., Fernandez, M., Alves, F., Arranz, P., Dinis, A., González García, L., Morales, M., Lettrich, M., Coelho, R.E., Costa, H., Capela Lourenço, T., Azevedo, J.M.N. & Frazão Santos, C. (2023). A novel expert-driven methodology to develop thermal response curves and project habitat thermal suitability for cetaceans under a changin climate. "Science of the Total Environment", 860, 160376. DOI:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.160376en
dc.identifier.doi10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.160376pt_PT
dc.identifier.eissn1879-1026
dc.identifier.issn0048-9697
dc.identifier.pmid36423844
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.3/6559
dc.language.isoengpt_PT
dc.peerreviewedyespt_PT
dc.publisherElsevierpt_PT
dc.relationWhale watching and climate change in European islands
dc.relationCentre for Ecology, Evolution and Environmental Changes
dc.relationMarine and Environmental Sciences Centre
dc.relationDownScaling CLImate imPACTs and decarbonisation pathways in EU islands, and enhancing socioeconomic and non-market evaluation of Climate Change for Europe, for 2050 and beyond.
dc.relation.publisherversionhttps://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0048969722074782pt_PT
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/pt_PT
dc.subjectClimate Changeen
dc.subjectMarine Mammalsen
dc.subjectMacaronesiaen
dc.subjectThermal Suitabilityen
dc.subjectExpert Elicitationen
dc.subjectConservation Managementen
dc.titleA novel expert-driven methodology to develop thermal response curves and project habitat thermal suitability for cetaceans under a changing climateen
dc.typejournal article
dspace.entity.typePublication
oaire.awardTitleWhale watching and climate change in European islands
oaire.awardTitleCentre for Ecology, Evolution and Environmental Changes
oaire.awardTitleMarine and Environmental Sciences Centre
oaire.awardTitleDownScaling CLImate imPACTs and decarbonisation pathways in EU islands, and enhancing socioeconomic and non-market evaluation of Climate Change for Europe, for 2050 and beyond.
oaire.awardURIinfo:eu-repo/grantAgreement/FCT/OE/PD%2FBD%2F135352%2F2017/PT
oaire.awardURIinfo:eu-repo/grantAgreement/FCT/6817 - DCRRNI ID/UIDP%2F00329%2F2020/PT
oaire.awardURIinfo:eu-repo/grantAgreement/FCT/6817 - DCRRNI ID/UIDB%2F04292%2F2020/PT
oaire.awardURIinfo:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/H2020/776661/EU
oaire.citation.conferencePlaceNetherlandsen
oaire.citation.titleScience of The Total Environmenten
oaire.citation.volume860pt_PT
oaire.fundingStreamOE
oaire.fundingStream6817 - DCRRNI ID
oaire.fundingStream6817 - DCRRNI ID
oaire.fundingStreamH2020
person.familyNameFernandez Morron
person.familyNameGonzález García
person.familyNameAzevedo
person.givenNameMarc
person.givenNameLaura
person.givenNameJosé
person.identifier.ciencia-id691B-40D8-24D2
person.identifier.ciencia-idED1A-5BDB-E64A
person.identifier.ciencia-id8312-087E-A33C
person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-8419-0942
person.identifier.orcid0000-0001-7353-0983
person.identifier.orcid0000-0003-2573-1371
person.identifier.ridC-1504-2010
person.identifier.scopus-author-id55463168300
person.identifier.scopus-author-id7101722234
project.funder.identifierhttp://doi.org/10.13039/501100001871
project.funder.identifierhttp://doi.org/10.13039/501100001871
project.funder.identifierhttp://doi.org/10.13039/501100001871
project.funder.identifierhttp://doi.org/10.13039/501100008530
project.funder.nameFundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
project.funder.nameFundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
project.funder.nameFundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
project.funder.nameEuropean Commission
rcaap.rightsclosedAccesspt_PT
rcaap.typearticlept_PT
relation.isAuthorOfPublicationebe4b6e7-65f3-4b6d-8385-2f649bd12518
relation.isAuthorOfPublicationaf3b34b5-c4eb-448e-b6cc-1d2b2a630e54
relation.isAuthorOfPublicationba383324-3114-4d75-a772-dc6c83d33fb2
relation.isAuthorOfPublication.latestForDiscoveryaf3b34b5-c4eb-448e-b6cc-1d2b2a630e54
relation.isProjectOfPublicationcc859ab5-4f98-4f3f-ae8a-638fa18e3764
relation.isProjectOfPublicationfdc526eb-123b-43b9-989c-29918360a76e
relation.isProjectOfPublication5ab1cd71-0876-4631-844c-5acad142f32a
relation.isProjectOfPublication9ff8574e-ed0f-4dce-97bf-a7f0cbb6827e
relation.isProjectOfPublication.latestForDiscoverycc859ab5-4f98-4f3f-ae8a-638fa18e3764

Files

Original bundle
Now showing 1 - 1 of 1
No Thumbnail Available
Name:
1-s2.0-S0048969722074782-main.pdf
Size:
2.58 MB
Format:
Adobe Portable Document Format
Download
License bundle
Now showing 1 - 1 of 1
No Thumbnail Available
Name:
license.txt
Size:
1.73 KB
Format:
Item-specific license agreed upon to submission
Description:
Download

Collections

GBA - Artigos em Revistas Internacionais / Articles in International Journals
DBIO - Artigos em Revistas Internacionais / Articles in International Journals