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The predictive power of structural models of corporate debt pricing

dc.contributor.authorTeixeira, João
dc.date.accessioned2019-01-24T17:06:18Z
dc.date.available2019-01-24T17:06:18Z
dc.date.issued2011-04
dc.description.abstractThis paper tests empirically the performance of three structural models of corporate bond pricing: those of Merton (1974), Leland (1994) and Fan and Sundaresan (2000). We show that both Merton and Leland models overestimate bond prices while Fan and Sundaresan reveals an extremely good performance. When considering the prediction of credit spreads, the three models underestimate market spreads but, again, Fan and Sundaresan has a better performance. We find a rating, maturity, asset volatility and sector effect in the prediction power, as the models underestimate less the spreads of riskier firms and of bonds with better rating quality and longer maturity. Moreover, we find that spread errors are systematically related with some bond and firm’s specific variables, as well as term structure variables. Finally, an econometric model developed for equityholders bargaining power shows that it depends on proportional liquidation costs, firm’s size and distance to default.en
dc.description.versionN/Apt_PT
dc.identifier.citationTeixeira, João C. A. (2011). The predictive power of structural models of corporate debt pricing, “Working Paper Series” nº 11/11, 44 pp.. Ponta Delgada: Universidade dos Açores, CEEAplA-A.pt_PT
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.3/4968
dc.language.isoengpt_PT
dc.publisherUniversidade dos Açorespt_PT
dc.subjectCorporate Debt Valuationen
dc.subjectEmpirical Credit Spreadsen
dc.subjectStructural Modelsen
dc.titleThe predictive power of structural models of corporate debt pricingen
dc.typeworking paper
dspace.entity.typePublication
oaire.citation.conferencePlacePonta Delgada, Açorespt_PT
oaire.citation.endPage44pt_PT
oaire.citation.startPage1pt_PT
oaire.citation.titleCEEAplA-A - Working Paper Seriespt_PT
person.familyNameTeixeira
person.givenNameJoão
person.identifier.orcid0000-0003-4774-0236
person.identifier.ridA-4954-2010
person.identifier.scopus-author-id22956440000
rcaap.rightsopenAccesspt_PT
rcaap.typeworkingPaperpt_PT
relation.isAuthorOfPublication91b279dc-585a-4ec9-b7f0-dabf663ac9ae
relation.isAuthorOfPublication.latestForDiscovery91b279dc-585a-4ec9-b7f0-dabf663ac9ae

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