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Local Climatic Effects on Colonisation and Extinction Drive Changes in Mountain Butterfly Communities

2025-01-13Artigo de investigação Acesso aberto
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datacite.subject.fosCiências Naturais::Ciências Biológicas
datacite.subject.sdg15:Proteger a Vida Terrestre
dc.contributor.authorUrsul, Guim
dc.contributor.authorMingarro López, Mario
dc.contributor.authorCastro-Cobo, Sara
dc.contributor.authorCancela, Juan Pablo
dc.contributor.authorRomo, Helena
dc.contributor.authorWilson, Robert
dc.contributor.authorWilson, Robert
dc.contributor.editorCooke, Rob
dc.date.accessioned2026-01-28T11:14:50Z
dc.date.available2026-01-28T11:14:50Z
dc.date.issued2025-01-13
dc.description.abstractABSTRACT: Aim - The capacity of cool refugia to protect cold-adapted species against climate change may depend on both their initial climatic conditions and how quickly these change. We test how local climatic conditions influence mountain butterfly communities via their effects on colonisation and local extinction. Location - Four mountain ranges in Central Spain. Methods - We used community temperature index (CTI), based on the climatic niches of constituent species (species temperature index, STI), to estimate thermal affinities for butterfly communities sampled in 1984–2005 to 2017–2022. We related CTI to local temperature, estimated using the model Microclima, and tested for changes to local temperature and CTI over time. We used standard deviation in CTI (CTISD) and species richness to detect effects of colonisation and local extinction on community change. Finally, we tested for differences in thermal affinity and thermal niche breadth (STISD) between species undergoing local extinction or colonisation at each site. Results - CTI was positively related to local temperature in both periods. However, there were regional differences in rates of change in CTI and local temperature. CTI increased overall, even though temperatures decreased at many sites; and CTI increases were greatest in historically cool sites. Neither CTISD nor species richness changed overall, suggesting that communities experienced equivalent numbers of colonisations and extinctions. Colonising species had warmer thermal affinities than those undergoing local extinction, and species with broader thermal niches increased their occupancy most over time. Main Conclusions - Local climatic conditions influenced changes to community composition based on species thermal tolerances, resulting in the loss of communities where cool-affinity species predominated, and a narrower range of community thermal affinities overall. Our results suggest that a regional perspective to identifying climate change refugia is needed to provide a wide range of local climate conditions and rates of change to help adapt conservation to climate change.eng
dc.identifier.citationUrsul, G., Mingarro, M., Castro‑Cobo, S., Cancela, J. P., Romo, H., & Wilson, R. J. (2025). Local climatic effects on colonisation and extinction drive changes in mountain butterfly communities. Diversity and Distributions, 31(1), e13967. https://doi.org/10.1111/ddi.13967
dc.identifier.doi10.1111/ddi.13967
dc.identifier.eissn1472-4642
dc.identifier.issn1366-9516
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.3/8844
dc.language.isoeng
dc.peerreviewedyes
dc.publisherWiley
dc.relationMinisterio de Ciencia, Innovación y Universidades - MCIN/AEI/10.13039/501100011033
dc.relationMinisterio de Ciencia, Innovación y Universidades - PID2021-126293OB-I00
dc.relationMinisterio de Ciencia, Innovación y Universidades - RTI2018-096739-B-C21
dc.relationMinisterio de Ciencia, Innovación y Universidades - PRE2019-091025
dc.relationBiodiversa+ - PCI2022-135061-2
dc.relation.hasversionhttps://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/ddi.13967
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/
dc.subjectclimate change
dc.subjectcommunity temperature index (CTI)
dc.subjectextirpation
dc.subjectimmigration
dc.subjectlepidoptera
dc.subjectlocal climate
dc.subjectspatial heterogeneity
dc.subjectthermophilisation
dc.titleLocal Climatic Effects on Colonisation and Extinction Drive Changes in Mountain Butterfly Communitieseng
dc.typeresearch article
dcterms.referenceshttp://doi.org/10.5061/dryad.2z34tmptv
dspace.entity.typePublication
oaire.citation.endPage15
oaire.citation.issue1
oaire.citation.startPage1
oaire.citation.titleDiversity and Distributions
oaire.citation.volume31
oaire.versionhttp://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85
person.familyNameUrsul
person.familyNameMingarro López
person.familyNameCancela
person.familyNameWilson
person.givenNameGuim
person.givenNameMario
person.givenNameJuan Pablo
person.givenNameRobert
person.identifier.ciencia-idA113-0733-6BB6
person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-9183-9906
person.identifier.orcid0000-0003-3977-7944
person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-3357-3820
person.identifier.orcid0000-0002-8344-5325
person.identifier.scopus-author-id57200656671
relation.isAuthorOfPublicationa92b4a55-0429-476e-a1bb-77605e030b04
relation.isAuthorOfPublicationf049df59-9fba-44d8-a826-aedd01c43188
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relation.isAuthorOfPublicationa3923b20-7ff0-41df-a397-db7f0652d3b8
relation.isAuthorOfPublication.latestForDiscoverya92b4a55-0429-476e-a1bb-77605e030b04

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