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Term and equity premium in economies with habit formation

dc.contributor.authorBudría, Santiago
dc.contributor.authorDíaz, Antonia
dc.date.accessioned2015-02-11T16:53:31Z
dc.date.available2015-02-11T16:53:31Z
dc.date.issued2006-07
dc.description.abstractIn this paper we investigate the size of the risk premium and the term premium in a representative agent exchange model economy where households preferences are subject to habit formation. As a novel feature, we develop theoretical measures for risk premium and term premium that can be used even when the consumption growth process is serially autocorrelated. We find that habit formation increases risk aversion significantly but increases much more the aversion to variations of consumption across dates. This induces a substantial increase in the precautionary demand of short term assets and a significant fall in the precautionary demand of long term assets. As a result, the term premium increases substantially with habit formation. Next we calibrate our model economy and examine the quantitative predictions of our theoretical measures of equity premium, risk premium and term premium. In line with previous literature, we show that it is possible to find a reasonable calibration for which the equity premium is that observed in the data. However, we find that around 70 percent of the equity premium is just term premium. That is, a very large fraction of the increase in the equity premium is due to the asymmetric effect that habit formation has on the precautionary demand of an asset depending on its maturity.en
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.3/3315
dc.language.isoengpor
dc.peerreviewedyespor
dc.publisherCEEAplApor
dc.relation.ispartofseriesWorking Paper Series;16/2006
dc.subjectTerm Premiumen
dc.subjectEquity Premiumen
dc.subjectHabit Formationen
dc.subjectConsumption Autocorrelationen
dc.titleTerm and equity premium in economies with habit formationen
dc.typeworking paper
dspace.entity.typePublication
oaire.citation.conferencePlacePonta Delgada, Açorespor
oaire.citation.titleWorking Paper Seriesen
rcaap.rightsopenAccesspor
rcaap.typeworkingPaperpor

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